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dc.contributor.authorSalje, Henrik et al.
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-07T13:30:35Z
dc.date.available2020-07-07T13:30:35Z
dc.date.issued2020-05-13
dc.identifier.uri10.1126/science.abc3517en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12663/1972
dc.description.abstractFrance has been heavily affected by the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and went into lockdown on the 17th March 2020. Using models applied to hospital and death data, we estimate the impact of the lockdown and current population immunity. We find 2.6% of infected individuals are hospitalized and 0.53% die, ranging from 0.001% in those <20y to 8.3% in those >80y. Across all ages, men are more likely to be hospitalized, enter intensive care, and die than women. The lockdown reduced the reproductive number from 3.3 to 0.5 (84% reduction). By 11 May, when interventions are scheduled to be eased, we project 3.7 million (range: 2.3-6.7) people, 5.7% of the population, will have been infected. Population immunity appears insufficient to avoid a second wave if all control measures are released at the end of the lockdown.en_US
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.subjectCoronavirusen_US
dc.subjectBetacoronavirusen_US
dc.subjectFranceen_US
dc.subjectSocial Isolationen_US
dc.subjectCoronavirus Infectionsen_US
dc.titleEstimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in Franceen_US
eihealth.countryGlobal (WHO/OMS)en_US
eihealth.categoryEpidemiology and epidemiological studiesen_US
eihealth.typePublished Articleen_US
eihealth.maincategorySlow Spread / Reducir la Dispersiónen_US
dc.relation.ispartofjournalScienceen_US


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