Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorAli, Mohsin et al.
dc.description.abstractWe formulate a deterministic epidemic model for the spread of Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19). We have included asymptomatic, quarantine and isolation compartments in the model, as studies have stressed upon the importance of these population groups on the transmission of the disease. We calculate the basic reproduction number R0 and show that for R0<1 the disease dies out and for R0>1 the disease is endemic. Using sensitivity analysis we establish that R0 is most sensitive to the rate of quarantine and isolation and that a high level of quarantine needs to be maintained as well as isolation to control the disease. Based on this we devise optimal quarantine and isolation strategies, noting that high levels need to be maintained during the early stages of the outbreak. Using data from the Wuhan outbreak, which has nearly run its course we estimate that R0=1.87 which while in agreement with other estimates in the literature is on the lower side.en_US
dc.subjectInfectious Diseasesen_US
dc.subjectSocial Isolationen_US
dc.titleThe role of asymptomatic class, quarantine and isolation in the transmission of COVID-19en_US
eihealth.categoryEpidemiology and epidemiological studiesen_US
eihealth.categoryPublic Health Interventionsen_US
eihealth.typeResearch protocol informationen_US
eihealth.maincategorySave Lives / Salvar Vidasen_US
eihealth.maincategorySlow Spread / Reducir la Dispersiónen_US
dc.relation.ispartofjournalJournal of Biological Dynamicsen_US

Files in this item


There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record