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dc.contributor.authorHernandez, Andres et al.
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-19T18:21:51Z
dc.date.available2020-05-19T18:21:51Z
dc.date.issued2020-05-09
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20092304en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12663/1556
dc.description.abstractBackground The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) emerged in December 2019 in Wuhan, China and has spread since then to around 210 countries and territories by April 2020. Consequently, countries have adopted physical distance measures in an attempt to mitigate the uncontrolled spread of the virus. A critical question for policymakers to inform evidence-based practice is if and how physical distance measures slowed the propagation of COVID-19 in the early phase of the pandemic. Methods This study aims to quantify the effects of physical distance mitigation measures on the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemic. Data from John Hopkins University on confirmed cases and testing data from the Our World in Data were used in an interrupted time series analysis to estimate the effects of physical distance measures on the growth rates of the pandemic in 12 countries of Asia, Africa, and Europe. Findings We found that physical distance measures produced a significant decrease in the growth rates of the COVID-19 pandemic in five countries (Austria, Belgium, Italy, Malaysia, and South Korea). The test-positivity rate was significant in understanding the slowing growth rate of COVID-19 cases caused by the mitigation measures, as it provides important context that is missing from analysis based only on confirmed case data. Interpretation Physical distance interventions effectively slowed the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of this study could inform infectious disease mitigation policies based on physical distance measures by quantifying the differential health outcomes of a pandemic with and without physical distance interventions.en_US
dc.languageEnglishen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.subjectCoronavirus Infectionsen_US
dc.subjectInfectious Diseasesen_US
dc.subjectBetacoronavirusen_US
dc.subjectPrevention and Mitigationen_US
dc.subjectSocial Isolationen_US
dc.titleOn the impact of early non-pharmaceutical interventions as containment strategies against the COVID-19 pandemicen_US
eihealth.countryGlobal (WHO/OMS)en_US
eihealth.categoryPublic Health Interventionsen_US
eihealth.typePublished Articleen_US
eihealth.maincategorySlow Spread / Reducir la Dispersiónen_US
dc.relation.ispartofjournalmedRxiven_US


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