Browsing by Subject "Models, Theoretical"
Now showing items 1-9 of 9
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Comparison of molecular testing strategies for COVID-19 control: a mathematical modelling study
(2020-08-18)Background: WHO has called for increased testing in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, but countries have taken different approaches and the effectiveness of alternative strategies is unknown. We aimed to investigate the ... -
COVID-19 mathematical model reopening scenarios for Sao Paulo - Brazil
(2020-05-01)The objective of the current investigation was to produce a generalized computational model to predict consequences of various reopening scenarios on COVID-19 infections rates and available hospital resources in Sao Paulo ... -
Estimates of the ongoing need for social distancing and control measures post-"lockdown" from trajectories of COVID-19 cases and mortality
(2020-05-05)By 29th April 2020, COVID-19 had caused more than 3 million cases across more than 200 countries. And most countries with significant outbreaks had introduced social distancing or "lockdown" measures to reduce viral ... -
How and when to end the COVID-19 lockdown: an optimisation approach
(2020-05-02)Countries around the world are in a state of lockdown to help limit the spread of SARS-CoV-2. However, as the number of new daily confirmed cases begins to decrease, governments must decide how to release their populations ... -
The impact of changes in diagnostic testing practices on estimates of COVID-19 transmission in the United States
(2020-04-24)Estimates of the reproductive number for novel pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 are essential for understanding the potential trajectory of the epidemic and the level of intervention that is needed to bring the epidemic under ... -
Mathematical Modeling & the Transmission Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in Cali, Colombia: Implications to a 2020 Outbreak & public health preparedness
(2020-05-10)Introduction: As SARS-COV-2 and the disease COVID-19 is sweeping through countries after countries around the globe, it is critical to understand potential burden of a future outbreak in cities of Colombia. This pandemic ... -
New SIR model used in the projection of COVID 19 cases in Brazil
(2020-05-24)In this work, we proposed a variant of the SIR model, taking as based on models used to describe the epidemic outbreak in South Korea and Portugal, to study the COVID-19epidemic curve in Brazil. The model presented here ... -
Social interventions can lower COVID-19 deaths in middle-income countries
(2020-04-23)A novel pandemic coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was first detected in late 2019 in Wuhan (China)1,2. COVID-19 has caused 77 national governments worldwide to impose a lockdown in part or all their countries, as of April ... -
Stepping out of lockdown should start with school re-openings while maintaining distancing measures. Insights from mixing matrices and mathematical models
(2020-05-19)Australia is one of a few countries which has managed to control COVID-19 epidemic before a major epidemic took place. Currently with just under 7000 cases and 100 deaths, Australia is seeing less than 20 new cases per ...